Business development

Interest rates and your 2027 construction pipeline: how to win the projects that come back first

By Scavi Company · · 3 min read
Interest rates and your 2027 construction pipeline: how to win the projects that come back first

For the last few years, high financing costs pushed many private projects into a drawer: the small apartment building, the medical office, the retail renovation, the industrial expansion. Owners did not give up. They waited for the numbers to work. As financing conditions change, those projects come back, usually in a predictable order, and the contractors who prepared are the ones who get the call.

Which projects come back first

Projects that depend on borrowed money react first when financing gets cheaper or easier:

  • Multifamily and build-to-rent, where the deal only works at a certain rate;
  • Owner-occupied commercial, like medical offices, clinics and small headquarters;
  • Retail and restaurant renovations by franchise owners who use SBA and bank loans;
  • Light industrial and flex space, often owned by local investors;
  • Larger residential remodels financed with home equity.

Public, institutional and data center work follow their own budgets. If your pipeline depends on private owners, rates matter a lot.

Find the shelved projects

Many of these projects already exist on paper. Look for them:

  • your own lost or paused bids from the last three years;
  • approved site plans and permits that never started (city planning records);
  • architects and engineers with projects "on hold";
  • owners who asked you for budgets and then went quiet.

Call each one with a simple question: "Is this project still alive, and what would it take to restart?"

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Refresh old proposals

An old proposal with old prices is useless. Offer the owner an updated budget in two weeks: current material and labor costs, a realistic schedule, and value engineering ideas to bring the number down. That updated budget is often exactly what the owner needs to take back to the lender.

Price with protection

When work restarts, costs can move fast. Use escalation clauses or price locks on volatile materials, short bid validity, and allowances where design is incomplete. Owners prefer an honest range to a low number that turns into change orders.

Stay close to lenders and brokers

Commercial lenders, SBA lenders and commercial real estate brokers know which projects are about to get financed before anyone else. Meet them, explain what you build and your typical budget range, and send a short case study. When a borrower needs a contractor with a reliable budget, you want to be the name they give.

Owners and developers check contractors online before calling. Keep your website project pages current with type, size, budget range and schedule, ask past clients for reviews and case studies, and post completed projects on LinkedIn. A contractor that looks active gets invited to the first conversations.

An example

A general contractor in Texas pulled every proposal it had sent since 2023 that never went ahead, 46 projects in total. It called each owner, offered a free budget update and found 11 still alive. Four restarted within the year, adding about $18 million to its backlog, all negotiated without a public bid.

Common mistakes

Waiting for the market to recover before calling anyone, sending old prices, cutting margin to win the first jobs, ignoring lenders and brokers, and letting the website show nothing newer than three years ago.

Run tighter jobs and win the right ones.

We help construction companies build the systems, online presence and client relationships that bring better projects.

Frequently asked questions

Should I lower my prices to win work while the market recovers?

Usually not. Owners restarting a project care first about certainty: a realistic budget, a schedule they can finance and a contractor who will not come back with change orders. Compete on preconstruction, budget accuracy and schedule. Cutting margin to win the first jobs of a recovery leaves you exposed if material or labor costs rise.